Whence the Yield Curve Inversion?
The current, much-ballyhooed yield curve inversion is driven entirely by the term structure of inflation expectations!
Zoom Out, It’s a Bull. Zoom In, It’s a Bear.
Measured with daily data, the S&P 500 Index (the usual stand-in for “the stock market” in the U.S.) is in its second bear market in just over two years. Measured with monthly data, the S&P 500 is still in a historic bull market that stretches back to 2009.